Will There Be Snow on Christmas? Dreaming of a White Christmas: UK Weather Nightmare
by Swetha P
Updated Dec 16, 2023
Will There Be Snow on Christmas?
The prospect of a snowy Christmas in Wales seems rather dim, according to the current weather forecast. The predictions suggest a low likelihood of snow, as the anticipated conditions lean towards mild, damp, and breezy weather.
The higher probability of witnessing snowfall appears to be concentrated over the Scottish Highlands. It's crucial to bear in mind that weather forecasts are subject to change, and with more than a week until Christmas, conditions may still undergo adjustments. Historically, Wales has seldom experienced a white Christmas, with the last widespread event occurring back in 2010 when snow covered the ground at 83% of stations.
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White Christmas 2023 Forecast
As for this year, the outlook for a white Christmas in the UK this year suggests that higher elevations in the West, areas near the Canadian border from North Dakota to Maine, and the mountains of West Virginia have the best chances of seeing at least 1 inch of snow on the ground Christmas morning.
The weather pattern leading up to Christmas indicates milder temperatures and drier conditions for much of the Lower 48, potentially limiting snow cover on Christmas morning. Last year, 53% of the contiguous U.S. experienced a white Christmas, but this year's forecast leans towards warmer-than-average temperatures.
Dreaming of a White Christmas: UK Weather Nightmare
Hopes for a white Christmas in the UK this year might be dashed, as the forecast suggests unseasonably warm December weather. The UK Met Office anticipates warm temperatures influenced by sub-tropical Atlantic air, resulting in mild conditions, especially in central and northern areas.
While some unsettled weather is expected, particularly in the North West, widespread or severe cold and wintry conditions seem unlikely. The Met Office emphasizes that it's too early to make a full prediction for Christmas Day, but the definition of a white Christmas involves observing a single snowflake falling within the 24 hours of December 25.
Will There Be Snow on Christmas? - FAQs
A single snowflake observed falling on December 25th anywhere in the UK qualifies.
In 2010, about 83% of weather stations in Wales reported snow on the ground.
Forecasts indicate mild, damp conditions, making snow in Wales less probable.
Higher elevations in the West and near the Canadian border from North Dakota to Maine have better odds.
Not quite—only around half of the years since 1960 have seen at least 5% of UK stations reporting snow on Christmas Day.